Jerome Powell

Bonds flash recession warning light as key part of the yield curve inverts again

The bond market is flashing a warning that the economy may be falling or has already fallen into recession, according to one closely watched measure. Market pros watch the spread on the Treasury yield curve, or the difference between the longer duration Treasury yields and shorter duration yields. Normally, longer duration yields, like the yield …

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US, UK, Europe, Japan will be in recession over next 12 months: Nomura

Thomas Calomiris, a third generation produce vendor, weighs an onion at Eastern Market as the US struggles with rising inflation May 20, 2022, in Washington, DC. Brendan Smialowski | AFP | Getty Images Many of the world’s leading economies will fall into a recession within the next 12 months as central banks move to aggressively …

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US recession this year is more likely than not: Nomura analysts

The US economy is more likely than not to sink into a recession this year as the Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy in its bid to cool decades-high inflation, economists warned Monday. “Disruptions in the energy and food sectors, coupled with declining consumer sentiment, are contributing to a looming economic slowdown in the US and …

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Higher interest rates are here, and that makes these vanilla investments compelling

For investors who are weary of this year’s volatility in stocks and bonds, a stable corner of finance is starting to look enticing. The Federal Reserve just hiked interest rates by 0.75 percentage point, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell has suggested a similar increase could be ahead in July. Recession fears have also put investors …

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Here are three things the Fed’s done wrong, and what’s still not right

The exterior of the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building is seen in Washington, DC, June 14, 2022. Sarah Silbiger | Reuters After years of being a beacon for financial markets, the Federal Reserve suddenly finds itself second-guessed as it tries to navigate the economy through a wicked bout of inflation and away from …

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A day after Powell’s assurances, markets are worried about something breaks

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell‘s insistence that the central bank is not deliberately trying to cause a recession and that the economy is on solid footing is exactly what someone in his position would be expected to say. The trouble is, the Fed’s likely to get a recession anyway as data shows the economy is …

A day after Powell’s assurances, markets are worried about something breaks Read More »

A day after Powell’s assurances, markets are worried about something breaks

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell‘s insistence that the central bank is not deliberately trying to cause a recession and that the economy is on solid footing is exactly what someone in his position would be expected to say. The trouble is, the Fed’s likely to get a recession anyway as data shows the economy is …

A day after Powell’s assurances, markets are worried about something breaks Read More »

Markets are now bracing for the possibility of bigger Fed interest rate hikes ahead

As inflation climbs to new 40-year highs, expectations for interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve are escalating as well. With the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee scheduled to hold a policy meeting this week, markets are ramping up their bets on the way things will go, particularly in the months ahead. There’s still about …

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Fed will raise rates next week, but Powell remarks may matter most

The week ahead may all come down to what Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has to say at 2:30 pm ET Wednesday. Powell briefs the press following the central bank’s two-day meeting. The Fed is widely expected to raise its fed funds target rate range by a half percentage point, but hot May inflation data …

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